Site Update

Hey folks, 

Just a quick site update.  I am stepping away from this for a few weeks.  Doing these numbers was supposed to be helpful for me to build context around this crisis; however, I have discovered that over time it is having a fairly negative impact on my mental health and well-being. 

Thank you to those who gave feedback and I will make a decision on if I want to continue with this by the end of the month. 

COVID-19 Deaths as compared to other causes of Death (US Only) Week 9 update

Below is weekly and annual comparison data from 4/24/2020 - 4/30/2020 @ 11:49 AM PST 5/2/2020

Note: Averages have a *; Comparative Analysis and Pneumonia are highlighted in blue; COVID-19 is highlighted in Yellow

Weekly

Annual

Analysis, Benchmarks, and Factor Analysis

As of the end of Week 9:

• COVID is around 8.4 times more deadly than the High Flu peak weekly deaths benchmark 
• COVID is the most prevalent form of death in the US based on averaged benchmarks
• COVID deaths have decreased by 11% since Week 8.  
• COVID deaths exceed the benchmarked High Flu deaths. 

Factor Analysis - below is a 'factor' analysis for COVID annual deaths versus benchmarks.  

Numbers which COVID does not exceed will be presented as X%.  This denotes that the COVID mortality rate equals X% of the higher number.

Numbers that COVID does exceed will be presented as N.  This denotes that the COVID mortality rate is N times higher than the benchmark number.  A one (1) means that the numbers are equal, a two (2) that COVID is twice as deadly on an annual basis, etc.

All numbers are rounded to the nearest decimal.

Factor Analysis

Charts

State Variability

Note: Red highlights mean the State has moved higher from the previous week, Green highlights mean the State has moved lower from the previous week. 

Corrections 

*Stealth change* - so I looked at the wrong date for annual.  That was the reason for the large reconcile.  In fact there was another reduction in the Annual total which means the Raw Annual that I have in my charts is just about matching 1:1 with the data source (this is a good thing).  Sorry...

Next Update: May 9th by 6 PM Pacific