Note: Averages have a *; Comparative Analysis and Pneumonia are highlighted in blue; COVID-19 is highlighted in Yellow
Weekly
Annual
Analysis, Benchmarks, and Factor Analysis
As of the end of Week 5:
- COVID is around 3.8 times more deadly than the High Flu peak weekly deaths benchmark
- COVID is the 3rd most prevalent form of death in the US based on averaged benchmarks
- COVID deaths have increased by around a factor of 5.6 since Week 4
- COVID surpassed the annual mortality rate of HIV/AIDS in the US
Numbers which COVID does not exceed will be presented as X%. This denotes that the COVID mortality rate equals X% of the higher number.
Numbers that COVID does exceed will be presented as N. This denotes that the COVID morality rate is N times higher than the benchmark number. A one (1) means that the numbers are equal, a two (2) that COVID is twice as deadly on an annual basis, etc.
For example, in today's analysis, COVID currently has a mortality rate 1.3 times higher than the estimated annual HIV/AIDS mortality rate. To date, COVID has a mortality rate of 32.2% of the number of people who die annually during a Low-Moderate flu season.
All numbers are rounded to the nearest decimal.
Factor Analysis
Other info
A quick note on sourcing. There are a few sites currently reporting COVID numbers. Each lists a different number for infections and deaths. This is due to a few factors primarily different time cut offs and different counting methods. I have chosen https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus because it has been the most consistent with updates and has the most granular data. That said, you should treat each number as an estimate with an undetermined error range (probably in the neighborhood of +/- 50 - 100).
Finally a slight adjustment was made to the annual numbers for COVID this week adding 16 deaths that happened prior to the data set start.
The next update will be by 6 pm PST on 4/8/2020.
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